United States Lime & Minerals (NASDAQ:USLM)
[Sold as of Q3 2024 for a total gain of +222%. This thesis is a reconstruction of what I was thinking at the
time.]
Date: Mar. 21, 2022
- Low PE despite stable and recently growing earnings/cashflows
- Impeccable balance sheet: no debt and growing cash pile, might result in one-time dividend in the future
- Runs entirely on its own cash
- Has a long business history (founded in 1948) with what appears to be few unhappy surprises
- Unusually low assets to liabilities ratio
- Surprisingly capital-light for an industrial company
- Extremely high margins for a commodity producer
- Successfully passing down price increases and growing revenue faster than volume
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Recent growth in demand is likely due to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
- Highway construction mostly
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What could really derail or screw up this business?
- Demand goes away for some reason (unlikely as heavy construction is likely planned years out)
- Unexpected labour cost increases
- Infrastructure act/funding is repealed in a big way
- General economic cyclicality